Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Post hoc tests

In the last blog entry, we learned about comparing three groups. If we know there is a significant difference between the groups, then we get to run post-hoc tests to see what the exact differences are. They're "post hoc" because it's not legal to run them until after you find a significant effect in the "omnibus" test.

Several kinds of post-hoc tests exist, including Tukey, Scheffe, Bonferroni, and LSD (which makes me smile to this day). The post-hoc tests differ in their strictness: some tests find significant effects more easily but the trade-off is that they are prone to experiment-wise error, e.g., you goof and say there's a significant effect when there isn't.

The post-hoc tests also differ in their method of comparison. Tukey and LSD are pairwise tests. Scheffe compares every possible combination of groups. Bonferroni lets you pick and choose specific groups to compare.

I often use Tukey which is fairly liberal, letting me see significant effects more often. Since no one's life depends on my UX research, I'm willing to accept a higher risk of falsely finding statistically significant results.

Post-hoc tests are easy to run. In SPSS, the ANOVA test gives you options to pick post-hoc tests, and the ANOVA and post hocs are run simultaneously. Keep in mind it's not legal to look at the post hoc unless the ANOVA is significant.

Our post-hoc results might look like this:
We found Getting Started Guides had a significant effect on time to account sign-up, F (4, 95) = 10.27, p = .03. A post-hoc Tukey's test revealed significantly shorter account sign-up times for both Getting Started Guides 3 and 4 than either Getting Started Guides 1, 2, or 5. Therefore, we recommend implementing either Getting Started Guide 3 or 4 in the new product.

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